Beware confusing cause & effect....


 
It was October and the Indians on a remote reservation asked their
new
 
Chief if the coming winter was going to be cold or mild. Since he
was
 
a Chief in a modern society he had never been taught the old
secrets.
 
When he looked at the sky he couldn't tell what the winter was
going to
 
be like. Nevertheless, to be on the safe side he told his tribe
that

the winter was indeed going to be cold and that the members of the

village should collect firewood to be prepared.
 
But being a practical leader, after several days he got an idea. He

went to the phone booth, called the National Weather Service and
asked,
 
"Is the coming winter going to be cold?" "It looks like this
winter is
 
going to be quite cold" the meteorologist at the weather service
 
responded. So the Chief went back to his people and told them to
 
collect even more firewood in order to be prepared.
 
A week later he called the National Weather Service again. "Does it
 
still look like it is going to be a very cold winter?" "Yes," the
man
 
at National Weather Service again replied, "it's going to be a very
 
cold winter." The Chief again went back to his people and ordered
them to




 
collect every scrap of firewood they could find.
> Two weeks later the Chief called the National Weather Service
again.

"Are you absolutely sure that the winter is going to be very cold?"

"Absolutely," the man replied. "It's looking more and more like it
is
 
going to be one of the coldest winters ever."
 
"How can you be so sure?" the Chief asked.
 
The weatherman replied, "Those  bloody  Indians are collecting
firewood like crazy."