BrainKing - 掲示板 (Backgammon)

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Backgammon

Backgammon and variants.

Backgammon Links

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1. ８月 2011, 12:11:01

Anjil

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件名: Anoyne else get Déjà vu feeling dice rolls?

I've just made opening move on 11 games,Why do I get the same opening dice rolls across multiple games?

I've noticed this before but now it's really bugging me

My opening dice for the 11 games were as follows:

3 games (5/4)
3 games (5/3)
2 games (5/2)
2 games (6/2)
1 game (6/1)

Lots of same opening dice numbers, this doesn't seem very random to me

Anyone else seeing similar or just my luck?

Games links below:

Backgammon (Rainbow Days vs. Anjil) (5/4)

Backgammon (Anjil vs. Rainbow Days) (5/4)

Backgammon (Slavek vs. Anjil) (5/4)

Backgammon (lenkacz vs. Anjil) (5/2)

Backgammon (Anjil vs. Slavek) (5/2)

Backgammon (Slavek vs. Anjil) (5/3)

Backgammon (Anjil vs. Thom27) (5/3)

Backgammon (Anjil vs. Thom27) (5/3)

Backgammon (Anjil vs. slon4e) (6/1)

Backgammon (Anjil vs. Magrata) (6/2)

Backgammon (Anjil vs. AlterMann) (6/2)

1. ８月 2011, 16:08:09

grenv

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件名: Re: Anoyne else get Déjà vu feeling dice rolls?

Anjil: 11 games, or 22 dice rolls, is not enough to know anything... this set of results is random enough. I guess the biggest anomaly is 8 fives and only 1 one .. but you need to collect about 100 starting rolls to even begin the discussion.

Of course, someone could query the database and post the stats... :)

1. ８月 2011, 17:42:36

playBunny

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件名: Re: Anoyne else get Déjà vu feeling dice rolls?

Anjil: Further to what grenv said, random is not the same as varied. In order for the dice to be random, these patterns have to occur every now and then.

You say that you noticed it before. I take that to imply that you've also stopped noticing it, presumably because that clustering went away .. until the next time you noticed. That's what random does. :-)