Bry: Thats the luck factor! I've played chess games, tablut games, checkers games etc where I've played great all the way through, I've been confident I would win, then played a silly move and lost, or drawn.
In backgammon, a luky roll of the dice can make the difference.
The play doesn't matter, its the end result. On your main page you have wins and losses, not wins, losses and near wins!