(A post of mine from a game while having a discussion about computers)

Just how much of an improvement can using a computer make in Backgammon? In Chess there's no arguing about the improvement, but in something so dependent on the roll of the dice and the 11 different rolls and 36 combinations of those rolls and each turn multiplying it and the permutations from where to move one's pieces, it seems like it'd not be all that much of a help. All the same, I agree with you as it seems it might help in some way, but how much?. Even the world's champion would have trouble defeating either of us more than 60% of the time in individual games, but remember these guys aren't playing individual games, they're playing matches. Even 55% of the wins would make for a match win of over 80%. Count up your games won and lost in a couple of matches and see what it adds up to. And what about luck? I get real lucky against some of my opponents and other I just get stomped.

Single games? Short matches? Long matches? Individual games with money bet on them? Does any of this matter?