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19. February 2006, 12:46:20
playBunny 
Subject: Re: Just for clarification....
Modified by playBunny (19. February 2006, 12:46:37)
Czuch: "Is it against the rules here to have a program assess a situation to help determine the probability to get a gammon or if a double should be offered?"

For sure. You should only analyse a chequer play or cube decision, after you've made it. Same with discussing it here.

"It is a good example tha a back game can win, but that will only happen once every 25 situations or so, although that number seems too high to me."

That 1/25 is much too low. Have a look at those numbers again. Sue had a 1/10 chance even when you were down to your last 6 men. With a double-anchor back game your chances can be as high as 30% and is why you should be hesitant about doubling if you're winning and ready for the cube if you're the one playing the back game.

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