One of the most knowledgeable people in the United States on all-things
political is predicting Gov. Mitt Romney will win the 2012 Presidential
Election on Tuesday “handily.” Michael Barone believes Romney will win
between 285-315 Electoral Votes.

WASHINGTON EXAMINER – Michael Barone: Fundamentals
usually prevail in American elections. That’s bad news for Barack
Obama. True, Americans want to think well of their presidents and many
think it would be bad if Americans were perceived as rejecting the first
black president.

But it’s also true that most voters oppose Obama’s major policies
and consider unsatisfactory the very sluggish economic recovery —
Friday’s jobs report showed an unemployment uptick.

Also, both national and target state polls show that
independents, voters who don’t identify themselves as Democrats or
Republicans, break for Romney.

That might not matter if Democrats outnumbered Republicans by 39
to 32 percent, as they did in the 2008 exit poll. But just about every
indicator suggests that Republicans are more enthusiastic about voting —
and about their candidate — than they were in 2008, and Democrats are
less so.

That’s been apparent in early or absentee voting, in which
Democrats trail their 2008 numbers in target states Virginia, Ohio, Iowa
and Nevada. . . .

. . . . Bottom line: Romney 315, Obama 223. That sounds high for
Romney. But he could drop Pennsylvania and Wisconsin and still win the
election. Fundamentals. . . .Read More