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10. August 2005, 14:49:54 Subiectul: Re: Odds of dancing on the bar. Chessmaster1000: Lol. RNG?? A TLA from the man who doesn't use abbreviations? 
Luke Skywalker: Hah! I've been making that mistake for ... ever!!  Yes, dancing for 9 rolls is reasonable at 4%. Even a 12-roll dance is not totally unbelievable at 1.25% and staying on the bar for 4, 5 or 6 rolls is almost to be expected at 23.3%, 16.2% and 11.2% respectively.
Thanks for pointing that out, Luke. Lol. I've been playing correctly, according to those figures, but, having made the wrong assumption all that time ago about the maths, my experience of seeing long dances so frequently was at odds with my understanding of the probabilities. When I read your correction it was a real Doh  moment.  |
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