Ponds can become a science if you let it and if you put in the time you could win 95 % everytime

Nonsense

But it WILL work and i guarantee you will be a top 3 player

Nonsense No.2

it would be pointless to do any research of the first few rounds

I agree. First rounds are not important at all, the goal is to survive, just like in the rain ponds.

Nothingness: What would be more useful is to monitor the endgame tendencies of the players. Who goes for the bonus and how often, who never does, etc...