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Übergeek 바둑이: I find it hard to believe that the 5% was not accounted for. So much 'watching' by various parties that for them not to know does suggest it was known.. or at least highly known to be unlikely.
If not... then despite various 'sightings' of mobile chemical factories (as was claimed) the intel was very, very poor. Stupendously bad in fact for the amount of effort being made. And since a certain C Rice interview over Saddam... I don't recon it was that bad, seeing as she had to give such a performance.