BrainKing - 掲示板 (Politics)

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Politics

Forum for discussing local and world politics and issues. All views are welcomed. Let your opinions be heard on current news and politics.

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26. ３月 2010, 00:52:34

Mort

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件名: Re: Guess he didn't see the polls

Artful Dodger: I find polls that say more like the idea. I guess it depends on who, where and when it was done.

26. ３月 2010, 09:01:12

Mort

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件名: Re: Guess he didn't see the polls

Artful Dodger: Unfortunately, they usually don't do enough to give a reasonable accuracy, the error margins seeing the closeness (in some cases) is to much for the polls to considered accurate.

Unless you can find a poll with a low error margin (5% or less)

Do they have ones with that low error these days?

26. ３月 2010, 17:36:19

Mort

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件名: Re: Guess he didn't see the polls

Artful Dodger: The error use to be quite bad, sample sizes usually being small. Not sure now if they have been able to work out the error % to a smaller figure, but it could be as high as 10%.

They are just for show.

26. ３月 2010, 19:22:20

Ferris Bueller

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件名: Politicans ignore them when the polls are against them but point to them when they favor them.

Artful Dodger: That's one statement that we can agree on. They cite the polls when they show agreement w/ their position & demonize them when they don't.

26. ３月 2010, 22:25:22

Mort

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件名: Re: Guess he didn't see the polls

Artful Dodger: Studied statistics at college to 'A' level standard.

That's why I'm not a big fan of 'polls' unless there is a BIG sample and a BIG % difference.