Mike UK: I know I didnt have muc of a chance either way, and my instinct said that I might have a better chance not closing out my home like that, but I just couldnt let myself not do it. You are probably correct that it is marginal either way. think the way I played it, I will have all my peices except the last on on the #1 pip and then I will have to makje a mad dash with some very high rolls to have a chance :)